Commodity Markets

Commodity Weekly November 27, 2023

Nov 27, 2023

Thomas Thornton

HIGHLIGHTS AND THEMES

Commodities are still at risk of moving lower. The Bloomberg Commodity index made 5 month low today with risk lower on key commodity sectors either making new lows or having upside exhaution. Energy is still weak after recent moves lower. Gold and Silver have upside exhaustion signals to watch. Copper is holding recent lows and doesn’t look horrible. Grains continue to make new lows with Wheat, Corn very weak. Livestock made new lows today. Strongest commodities this year Cocoa and Sugar are extended and should consolidate gains.

BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX DAILY AND WEEKLY

Bloomberg Commodity Index daily is now in downside wave 5, slipping under the late September low with lower risk levels.

Bloomberg Commodity Index Weekly still hasn’t moved to the lows seen last June but might round trip and possibly go even lower.

COMMODITY SENTIMENT OVERVIEW

OIL AND ENERGY

Bloomberg Energy Index daily has risk lower

WTI Crude futures daily has been trying to hold recent levels while there is a pending Sequential on the downside. Joe Biden will get another opportunity to refill the SPR on this move lower.

WTI Crude futures bullish sentiment continues to weaken

WTI Crude futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Natural Gas futures daily continues to weaken despite several fakeout spikes.

Natural Gas futures bullish sentiment remains under pressure. Note the current sentiment price is 13%

Natural Gas futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Metals

Gold daily with a new Sell Setup 9. The Setup 9’s have been effective at inflection points this year.

Gold bullish sentiment back into the elevated zone.

Gold futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Silver daily should get the Sequential sell Countdown 13 tomorrow

Silver bullish sentiment held the 50% level on the last spike down

Silver futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Copper futures daily has been choppy

Copper futures bullish sentiment has been improving despite the choppy action.

Copper futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Platinum daily is building a range

Platinum bullish sentiment is also off with the current sentiment at 46%

Platinum Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Palladium daily grinding in a downtrend

Palladium bullish sentiment remains under pressure.

Palladium Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Grains

Corn futures daily making new lows

Corn futures bullish sentiment remains under pressure

Corn futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Wheat futures daily also grinding lower

Wheat futures bullish sentiment remains under pressure

Wheat futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Soybean futures daily with another lower high

Soybean futures bullish sentiment is currently at 51%

Soybean futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Livestock

Live Cattle futures daily breaking down to downside wave 3 price objective

Live Cattle futures bullish sentiment with a new 2023 low

Live Cattle futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Lean Hogs futures daily in downside wave 5 with a new low

Lean Hogs bullish sentiment remains under pressure

Lean Hogs Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Softs

Cotton futures daily at the low end of the range. Nasty looking chart.

Cotton futures bullish sentiment with recent breakdown to 31%

Cotton Futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Coffee futures daily consolidating recent gains with Sequential pending

Coffee futures bullish sentiment failing

Sugar futures daily with rounding top?

Sugar futures bullish sentiment nearing 60% recent low end of sentiment range

Sugar futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Cocoa futures daily has been very strong and new Sequential sell Countdown 13. 13’s have seen pauses and small pullbacks.

Cocoa futures bullish sentiment remains in the extreme zone.

Cocoa futures Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

DeMark Sequential Basics

DETAILED COMMITMENT OF TRADERS DEFINITIONS