Currency Markets

Currency Weekly December 10, 2023

Dec 10, 2023

Thomas Thornton

Highlights and themes

In order to make my life easier, as it takes a considerable time to research and build these notes, I have made all annotations on the charts, and sentiment charts are self-explanatory. In this section, I will give key thoughts on each market.

US Dollar: After falling in the previous week there was some stabilization. US Dollar Index has near-term resistance at 104. Sentiment improved to 60%

Dollar Crosses: Euro and Pound saw declines vs US Dollar with sentiment falling back under the 50% midpoint level. Others like Swiss Franc, Aussie Dollar etc are acting similarly.

Yen: This was a big week for Yen strength with December 7th surge. There are DeMark buy Setup 9’s developing on many Yen crosses so some renewed Yen weakness could start again.

Crypto: Overbought with some more DeMark sell Countdown 13’s and sell Setup 9’s. Very strong momentum making the exhaustion signals pause briefly while bullish sentiment is back to the highs seen several times in 2023.

Currency Sentiment Overview

Currency sentiment highlights

US Dollar Indexes

DXY US Dollar Index daily

DXY US Dollar Index Weekly

US Dollar bullish sentiment

US Dollar Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Major USD Crosses

EURUSD Euro / US Dollar

Euro bullish sentiment

Euro Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

GBPUSD British Pound Sterling / US Dollar

British Pound Sterling bullish sentiment

British Pound Sterling Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

AUDUSD Australian Dollar / US Dollar

Australian Dollar bullish sentiment

Australian Dollar Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

USDCAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar

Canadian Dollar bullish sentiment

Canadian Dollar Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

USDCHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc

Swiss Franc bullish sentiment

Swiss Franc Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

USDJPY Japanese Yen daily

Japanese Yen bullish sentiment

Yen Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Crypto

Bitcoin Daily is toppy and overbought

Bitcoin bullish sentiment

Ethereum is toppy and overbought

Three major Yen crosses – big reversals

Buy Setup 9’s in play

EURJPY Euro / Japanese Yen

GBPJPY British Pound Sterling / Japanese Yen

AUDJPY Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen

US Dollar vs Emerging Markets

USDBRL US Dollar / Brazilian Real

USDMXN US Dollar / Mexican Peso

Mexican Peso bullish sentiment

Mexican Peso Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

USDZAR US Dollar / South African Rand

USDCNH US Dollar / Chinese Offshore Renminbi (Yuan)

DeMark Sequential Basics from Bloomberg

Detailed Commitment of Traders explanation