Commodity Markets

Commodity Weekly June 1, 2025

Jun 1, 2025

Thomas Thornton

HIGHLIGHTS AND THEMES

  • The Bloomberg Commodity was down on the week and risks moving below the May lows
  • Crude and Natural Gas both have downside DeMark Sequential Countdown’s with Natural Gas closer to buy Countdown 13
  • Gold and Silver remain steady; however, both saw sentiment fall hard on Friday
  • The short lived bounces with Platinum and Palladium were just that – short lived
  • Copper is steady and has an upside Sequential pending only on day 3 of 13
  • Livestock with Sequential sell Countdown 13’s with cattle and hogs
  • Grains have no upside momentum which is nothing new
  • Softs trending lower

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BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX DAILY AND WEEKLY

Bloomberg Commodity Index daily broke the May lows and is under pressure

Bloomberg Commodity Index Weekly had a tough week and continues sideways

COMMODITY SENTIMENT OVERVIEW

OIL AND ENERGY – remains under pressure

Bloomberg Energy Index daily remains under pressure and could break recent lows

WTI Crude futures daily with downside Sequential on day 5 of 13. A potential lower high wave 2 of 5 exists yet with Sequential risk remains lower. A move over the upside TDST Setup Trend red dotted line would shift this with upside conviction.

WTI Crude futures bullish sentiment remains under pressure.

Natural Gas futures daily with downside Sequential in progress on day 10 of 13

Natural Gas futures bullish sentiment remains in oversold zone

Metals – steady with gold and silver

Gold daily still has a potential lower high wave 2 of 5. Breaking the May closing low will qualify downside wave 3 with a potential downside wave 3 price objective of 3019

Gold bullish sentiment fell hard on Friday from the extreme zone

Silver daily remains steady with pending upside Sequential Countdown in progress

Silver bullish sentiment fell hard on Friday from the extreme zone

Copper futures daily still moving sideways with an upside Sequential pending on day 3 of 13

Copper futures bullish sentiment reached overbought zone >80% and slight move down. Price issue continues to occur with this one.

Platinum daily with sharp upside move reversing down again

Platinum bullish sentiment was overbought and reversed down

Palladium daily continues sideways after short lived bounce

Palladium bullish sentiment with sharp drop

Grains – lacking any upside momentum

Corn futures daily with risk remaining lower

Corn futures bullish sentiment with hard drop in oversold zone

Wheat futures daily with secondary Sequential after failing under 50 day.

Wheat futures bullish sentiment steady under 50% midpoint level.

Soybean futures daily slightly below 50 day and 200 day. To qualify the Sequential 13 a low under the 8th red bar close (at April) lows is needed.

Soybean futures bullish sentiment stalling with a slip under 20 day moving average of bullish sentiment

Livestock – sequential sell Countdown 13’s

Live Cattle futures daily with new Sequential sell Countdown 13’s

Live Cattle futures bullish sentiment steady for now

Lean Hogs futures daily also with new Sequential sell Countdown 13

Lean Hogs bullish sentiment steady for now

Softs – trending lower

Cotton futures daily short lived bounces but the trend remains lower with downward sloping 50 day

Cotton futures bullish sentiment stalling holding 50% midpoint level. Sentiment looks better than price.

Coffee futures daily on day 7 of 9 with downside Setup. A break of the TDST support is near.

Coffee futures bullish sentiment slipping below the 50% midpoint level

Sugar futures daily getting closer to the buy Countdown 13, perhaps mid week

Sugar futures bullish sentiment remains under pressure

Cocoa futures daily with bounce off 50 day

Cocoa futures bullish sentiment at oversold levels