Currency Markets

Currency Weekly March 1, 2026

Mar 1, 2026

Thomas Thornton

Highlights and themes

  • Despite the recent Dollar lift off the lows a lot more upside would be required to shift the current trend
  • Daily has a downside Sequential pending in progress while weekly has a recent buy Countdown 13s qualified
  • Yen might be the tell with recent Setup 9 – a weakening Yen would start a new Sequential worth watching
  • Crypto has new Sequential 13s in play, and I take all 13’s seriously, but I am also watching if the two completed September 9’s have more downside risk with secondary Sequential Countdowns working silently as prices stabilize. A break lower would confirm downside risk with Sequential Countdowns extending downside to the next 13’s.

Comments on charts. If you have questions or would like more context, please email.

Currency Sentiment Overview

Currency sentiment highlights

US Dollar Indexes

DXY US Dollar Index daily bounced off the buy Setup 9 and has a Sequential in progress and 200 day resistance at 98.36 and more important TDST Resistance at 99.39

DXY US Dollar Index weekly has recent buy Countdown 13’s and 100+ as resistance breakout levels

Bloomberg US Dollar Index daily has held under the 50 day with a Sequential in progress

US Dollar bullish sentiment touched the 70% elevated zone level last week

Major USD Crosses

EURUSD Euro / US Dollar has been weakening and has a Sequential Countdown in progress

Euro bullish sentiment bounced off 50% last week

GBPUSD British Pound Sterling / US Dollar weakening and holding January lows for now

British Pound Sterling bullish sentiment weakening 20 day moving average of bullish sentiment

AUDUSD Australian Dollar / US Dollar with Sequential pending on day 7 of 13

Australian Dollar bullish sentiment is elevated

USDCAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar with Sequential on day 6 of 13

Canadian Dollar bullish sentiment holding 60%

USDCHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc with Sequential on day 4 of 13 trend remains in intact

Swiss Franc bullish sentiment steady at 50%

USDJPY Japanese Yen daily with new Setup 9. Stronger yen ahead?

Japanese Yen bullish sentiment with higher lows?

Crypto

Bitcoin daily with new Sequential 13 yet with two completed Setup 9’s there is a secondary Sequential in progress

Bitcoin bullish sentiment remains under pressure

Ethereum with recent Sequential 13 and secondary Sequential in progress – weak bottom if this is one

Three major Yen crosses

Stalling with two with new sell Setup 9’s

EURJPY Euro / Japanese Yen

GBPJPY British Pound Sterling / Japanese Yen

AUDJPY Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen

US Dollar vs Emerging Markets

USDBRL US Dollar / Brazilian Real new Sequential buy Countdown 13

USDMXN US Dollar / Mexican Peso with another cluster of buy Countdown 13’s and slight turn

Mexican Peso bullish sentiment steady

USDZAR US Dollar / South African Rand stable with price flip but needs to clear 50 day

USDCNH US Dollar / Chinese Offshore Renminbi (Yuan) trend remains intact