Currency Markets

Currency Weekly November 16, 2025

Nov 16, 2025

Thomas Thornton

Highlights and themes

  • The US Dollar recently backed off from the 200-day moving average, but stalled the decline on Friday
  • Crypto remains under pressure
  • A lot is discussed on this note/charts

Comments on charts. If you have questions or would like more context, please email.

Currency Sentiment Overview

Currency sentiment highlights

US Dollar Indexes

DXY US Dollar Index daily backed off at the 200 day.

DXY US Dollar Index weekly still has the pending Sequential Countdown. Upside Setup on week 6 of 9. Completion of the Setup 9 next month would cancel the pending Sequential.

Bloomberg US Dollar Index daily similar to DXY

US Dollar bullish sentiment backed off last week while holding 50%

US Dollar Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

Major USD Crosses

EURUSD Euro / US Dollar range bound with possible lower high wave 2 of 5

Euro bullish sentiment with lower highs?

Euro Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

GBPUSD British Pound Sterling / US Dollar with recent Sequential 13

British Pound Sterling bullish sentiment

British Pound Sterling Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

AUDUSD Australian Dollar / US Dollar range bound

Australian Dollar bullish sentiment

Australian Dollar Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

USDCAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar

Canadian Dollar bullish sentiment remains under pressure

Canadian Dollar Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators

USDCHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc remains range bound

Swiss Franc bullish sentiment with sharp move recently

Swiss Franc Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators. Recent Sequential 13

USDJPY Japanese Yen daily with upside wave 5 price objective achieved

Japanese Yen bullish sentiment remains and might stay under pressure as it has in the past

Yen Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators. Sell Setup 9

Crypto

Bitcoin daily hit the downside wave 3 of 5 price objective and has a Setup on day 5 of 9

Weekly broke the 50 week with some possible retracement levels to watch.

Bitcoin bullish sentiment made new one year low

Ethereum risk now is breaking 3k with secondary Sequential in progress

Three major Yen crosses

Stll trending higher vs Yen

EURJPY Euro / Japanese Yen

GBPJPY British Pound Sterling / Japanese Yen

AUDJPY Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen – sorry don’t have this chart

US Dollar vs Emerging Markets

USDBRL US Dollar / Brazilian Real with recent Sequential 13 and Setup 9 possible tomorrow

USDMXN US Dollar / Mexican Peso still with pending Sequential

Mexican Peso bullish sentiment steady

Mexican Peso Commitment of Traders large speculators and weekly DeMark Setup, Sequential, and Combo indicators with new Combo 13 and Sequential on week 9/13

USDZAR US Dollar / South African Rand with new Combo 13

USDCNH US Dollar / Chinese Offshore Renminbi (Yuan) with Sequential having no impact