Currency Markets

Currency Weekly November 23, 2025

Nov 23, 2025

Thomas Thornton

Highlights and themes

  • US Dollar has upside potential, qualifying into upside wave 3 of 5, holding above the 200-day
  • Dollar crosses are range-bound, with potential for weakness amid a trend of lower sentiment.
  • Crypto remains under pressure with downside Sequential Countdowns in progress; bounces will occur, but risk remains.
  • Yen weakness is pronounced despite some exhaustion signals

Comments on charts. If you have questions or would like more context, please email.

Currency Sentiment Overview

Currency sentiment highlights

US Dollar Indexes

DXY US Dollar Index daily holding above 200 day in upside wave 3 of 5

DXY US Dollar Index weekly

US Dollar bullish sentiment bounce off 50% midpoint level

Major USD Crosses

EURUSD Euro / US Dollar at risk of breaking below recent low into wave 3

Euro bullish sentiment has been weakening for two months

GBPUSD British Pound Sterling / US Dollar with secondary Sequential in progress

British Pound Sterling bullish sentiment still under 50% midpoint level

AUDUSD Australian Dollar / US Dollar with Sequential on day 11 of 13 range bound

Australian Dollar bullish sentiment with new recent low

USDCAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar trend remains with 50 day support

Canadian Dollar bullish sentiment remains under pressure

USDCHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc range bound

Swiss Franc bullish sentiment is volatile with another move lower

USDJPY Japanese Yen daily with several signals 9’s and 13’s with upside 20 day sloping support

Japanese Yen bullish sentiment remains under pressure

Crypto

Bitcoin daily remains under pressure with new Sequential in progress on downside. Oversold RSI so bounces due

Bitcoin bullish sentiment with several year low this past week

Ethereum with Sequential in progress and Combo 13.

Three major Yen crosses

Trend remains steady with weak yen although a few signals to monitor

EURJPY Euro / Japanese Yen

GBPJPY British Pound Sterling / Japanese Yen

AUDJPY Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen

US Dollar vs Emerging Markets

USDBRL US Dollar / Brazilian Real decent potential for a turn after recent Sequential 13

USDMXN US Dollar / Mexican Peso steady

Mexican Peso bullish sentiment slightly below last two months low

USDZAR US Dollar / South African Rand possible turn with this above 50 day

USDCNH US Dollar / Chinese Offshore Renminbi (Yuan) still lacking any turn