Unlocked Notes

Take a look at some recent samples of our work.

To access this post, current subscribers need to first log on or click here if you would like to learn more about becoming a subscriber to Hedge Fund Telemetry. If you need any assistance logging on or have questions about our membership plans, please email here. Thank you!

The Week Ahead October 2, 2022

The Week Ahead October 2, 2022

  • The week ahead will have several important macro catalysts.
  • More Fed speakers, ISM manufacturing will start the week and the Jobs data will finish the week
  • Added some US market index charts to this note

 

Trapped

Trapped

  • This market has trapped a lot of investors. 
  • It wasn’t easy being short in the last week, yet knowing who ran it up gave me confidence a pullback like this was just a matter of time
  • Powell’s speech Friday can’t soothe the bulls because it would just make his job harder
Dr. Strangelove 2022

Dr. Strangelove 2022

  • Should we worry about the Fed raising rates?
  • Even if you do worry, the Fed isn’t the worry as there are plenty of other worries
  • Adding more long exposure and a new short idea
Free Candy

Free Candy

  • Ahead of the Fed, the bounce is very strong with a lot of doubters
  • Thoughts on the Trade Ideas sheet and taking profits on recent SPY and QQQ call spreads
  • If anything big happens after the Fed I will post another note
Soft Landing The Movie

Soft Landing The Movie

  • The markets are in a good mood today with potential Ukraine talks and Fed Chair Powell stating 25bps is what to expect at the March meeting.
  • He also mentioned “Soft Landing” which is a great title for a movie
  • So what would be the plot of the movie?
  • Crude going higher as a reminder is economic cyanide
  • A couple of Trade Idea’s
A Bullard in a china shop

A Bullard in a china shop

  • A CPI showing the highest inflation in 40 years and the market bounced
  • Fed Governor Bullard put a halt to that calling for larger and faster rate hikes
  • The market just has been too forgiving with what is happening in the macro