- The market is anticipating the Fed announcement and Powell’s press conference
- The market now has some consensus expectations with Powell and the Fed
- Powell is expected to be hawkish but he’s gotta pull off a very tough trick to also calm the markets
- Raising stops on trading longs SPY, QQQ, IWM. Covering LRCX +13% ahead of earnings
- Credit spreads have not given any risk-off signals like 2018 and 2020
Unlocked Notes
Take a look at some recent samples of our work.
Mixed Messages
- There are a lot of mixed messages with the equity market right now
- I run through sentiment and internals that normally is easy to make a call
- One market that has a very clear message is the bond market
- Adding one new long idea and selling one long idea
- I’m not overly enthusiastic about today’s bounce
Sell Tickets
- The equity market noticed the rise in rates… finally
- The progression of markets unwinding is briefly discussed
- Some examples of Erlanger Research Type 1 (short squeeze) and Type 4 (long squeeze) short interest candidates
- More details on Rekor Systems
- The “future sellers” thesis is a 2022 risk
- Cutting a couple of recent “knife catcher” long ideas with losses
- Another big report and happily it’s out a lot earlier than yesterday’s note
The more things change, the more they stay the same
- It’s been a day… a long one and I finally finished today’s note
- It’s rare notes get so delayed but I think this note has a lot of good stuff as we start 2022
- Worth it with a few Trade Ideas
First Call December 20, 2021
- US futures are under pressure again
- There is a chance today for a bounce if the overnight lows hold
- The good news is Friday is a holiday and the markets are closed
Commodity Weekly December 19, 2021
- Here’s this week’s Commodity Weekly
- Still, many commodities are struggling despite the inflationary backdrop